Illinois
W-L: (16-39) PR = 90.0020Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 3- 4 206 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 0- 9 207 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 4- 9 207 H Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 2- 5 208 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 1- 9 212 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 0- 8 213 A Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 2- 1 213 A Binghamton AE ( 1-13, 88.3) 11- 5 214 H Bradley MV ( 1- 6, 89.3) 10- 5 214 H Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 0- 5 220 A Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 4- 1 221 A Providence BE ( 0-11, 85.2) 11- 2 221 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 2- 9 222 A NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 0- 4 227 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 3-12 227 A Ball State MA ( 4- 5, 91.7) 6- 7 228 H IUPUI HL ( 0- 9, 86.5) 10- 0 228 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 1- 2 301 H Ball State MA ( 4- 5, 91.7) 4- 2 301 H Ball State MA ( 4- 5, 91.7) 4- 2 306 H Long Island University NE ( 0- 8, 88.4) 2- 1 307 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 6- 8 308 H Ball State MA ( 4- 5, 91.7) 1- 3 308 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 5-13 313 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 15-21 314 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 1- 7 314 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 0- 2 318 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 0- 3 318 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 4- 9 320 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 1- 6 321 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 5-19 322 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 0- 5 324 H Northern Iowa MV ( 2- 6, 91.3) 4-10 327 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 2- 7 328 H East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 14- 2 329 A Minnesota B10 (16-36, 91.2) 0- 2 331 H Illinois State MV ( 5- 5, 91.8) 4- 8 403 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 12- 6 403 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 0- 7 407 H Western Illinois OV ( 0- 1, 82.7) 8- 0 410 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 0-17 411 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 1-10 412 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 0-18 415 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 9- 8 417 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 1- 5 418 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 5- 4 419 A Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 1- 8 421 H Indiana State MV ( 1- 8, 88.3) 9- 5 424 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 1- 6 425 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 0- 3 426 A Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 3- 5 429 A Evansville MV ( 0- 4, 89.7) 6- 0 501 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 5- 8 502 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 3- 7 503 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 3- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Lamar 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.37
206 A Nevada 0- 9 -9 -6 - -2.81
207 A NC State 4- 9 -5 -4 -1.49
207 H Lamar 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.11
208 A LSU 1- 9 -8 -8 -0.24
212 A Auburn 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.51
213 A Campbell 2- 1 1 -3 + 3.83
213 A Binghamton 11- 5 6 1 ++ 5.07
214 H Bradley 10- 5 5 1 + 3.54
214 H Campbell 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.65
220 A Akron 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.37
221 A Providence 11- 2 9 4 ++ 4.98
221 H Akron 2- 9 -7 0 --- -7.12
222 A NC State 0- 4 -4 -4 -0.49
227 A Western Kentucky 3-12 -9 -4 -- -4.67
227 A Ball State 6- 7 -1 -2 1.48
228 H IUPUI 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.74
228 A Western Kentucky 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.33
301 H Ball State 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.00
301 H Ball State 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.00
306 H Long Island University 2- 1 1 2 -1.33
307 A Louisville 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.29
308 H Ball State 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.00
308 A Louisville 5-13 -8 -6 -1.71
313 H Iowa 15-21 -6 -2 - -3.79
314 H Iowa 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.79
314 H Iowa 0- 2 -2 -2 0.21
318 H Missouri 0- 3 -3 -4 0.75
318 H Missouri 4- 9 -5 -4 -1.25
320 H Northwestern 1- 6 -5 -5 -0.32
321 H Northwestern 5-19 -14 -5 --- -9.32
322 H Northwestern 0- 5 -5 -5 -0.32
324 H Northern Iowa 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.48
327 H Liberty 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.38
328 H East Carolina 14- 2 12 -1 +++ 12.54
329 A Minnesota 0- 2 -2 -2 -0.06
331 H Illinois State 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.97
403 A Michigan State 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 7.33
403 A Michigan State 0- 7 -7 -1 -- -5.67
407 H Western Illinois 8- 0 8 8 0.00
410 H UCLA 0-17 -17 -9 -- -5.20
411 H UCLA 1-10 -9 -9 -0.20
412 H UCLA 0-18 -18 -9 -- -5.20
415 H Southeast Missouri Sta 9- 8 1 2 -1.01
417 A Maryland 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.00
418 A Maryland 5- 4 1 -1 2.00
419 A Maryland 1- 8 -7 -1 --- -6.00
421 H Indiana State 9- 5 4 2 1.55
424 H Penn State 1- 6 -5 -4 -0.78
425 A South Florida 0- 3 -3 -4 1.18
426 A Middle Tennessee 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.01
429 A Evansville 6- 0 6 0 +++ 6.39
501 A Indiana 5- 8 -3 -7 + 3.97
502 A Indiana 3- 7 -4 -7 + 2.97
503 A Indiana 3- 7 -4 -7 + 2.97
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Akron 2- 9 -7 0 --- -7.12 321 H Northwestern 5-19 -14 -5 --- -9.32 419 A Maryland 1- 8 -7 -1 --- -6.00 227 A Western Kentucky 3-12 -9 -4 -- -4.67 324 H Northern Iowa 4-10 -6 -1 -- -5.48 403 A Michigan State 0- 7 -7 -1 -- -5.67 410 H UCLA 0-17 -17 -9 -- -5.20 412 H UCLA 0-18 -18 -9 -- -5.20 206 A Nevada 0- 9 -9 -6 - -2.81 212 A Auburn 0- 8 -8 -5 - -2.51 214 H Campbell 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.65 313 H Iowa 15-21 -6 -2 - -3.79 314 H Iowa 1- 7 -6 -2 - -3.79 327 H Liberty 2- 7 -5 -2 - -3.38 331 H Illinois State 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.97 417 A Maryland 1- 5 -4 -1 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H East Carolina 14- 2 12 -1 +++ 12.54 403 A Michigan State 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 7.33 429 A Evansville 6- 0 6 0 +++ 6.39 213 A Binghamton 11- 5 6 1 ++ 5.07 220 A Akron 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.37 221 A Providence 11- 2 9 4 ++ 4.98 228 H IUPUI 10- 0 10 4 ++ 5.74 307 A Louisville 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.29 206 A Lamar 3- 4 -1 -3 + 2.37 213 A Campbell 2- 1 1 -3 + 3.83 214 H Bradley 10- 5 5 1 + 3.54 228 A Western Kentucky 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.33 301 H Ball State 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.00 301 H Ball State 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.00 501 A Indiana 5- 8 -3 -7 + 3.97 502 A Indiana 3- 7 -4 -7 + 2.97 503 A Indiana 3- 7 -4 -7 + 2.97 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 3- 4 -7.27 12.10 0.74 0.46 -1.50
3 A Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 0- 9 -4.45 14.92 0.74 0.46 -0.85
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 4- 9 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.46 -1.46
3 H Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 2- 5 -7.27 12.10 -0.74 0.46 -1.84
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 1- 9 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.46 -0.49
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 0- 8 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.46 -1.01
3 A Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 2- 1 -7.81 11.56 0.74 0.46 11.27
3 A Binghamton ( 1-13, 88.3) 11- 5 -11.57 7.80 0.74 0.46 7.83
3 H Bradley ( 1- 6, 89.3) 10- 5 -10.61 8.76 -0.74 0.46 7.35
3 H Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 0- 5 -7.81 11.56 -0.74 0.46 -1.96
3 A Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 4- 1 -9.27 10.10 0.74 0.46 9.93
3 A Providence ( 0-11, 85.2) 11- 2 -14.66 4.71 0.74 0.46 5.00
3 H Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 2- 9 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.46 -2.30
3 A NC State (28-26, 92.8) 0- 4 -7.13 12.24 0.74 0.46 -1.46
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 3-12 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.46 -1.28
3 A Ball State ( 4- 5, 91.7) 6- 7 -8.16 11.21 0.74 0.46 -1.70
3 H IUPUI ( 0- 9, 86.5) 10- 0 -13.41 5.96 -0.74 0.46 4.78
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 1- 2 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.46 -1.28
3 H Ball State ( 4- 5, 91.7) 4- 2 -8.16 11.21 -0.74 0.46 9.59
3 H Ball State ( 4- 5, 91.7) 4- 2 -8.16 11.21 -0.74 0.46 9.59
3 H Long Island Un ( 0- 8, 88.4) 2- 1 -11.48 7.89 -0.74 0.46 6.55
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 6- 8 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.46 -0.83
3 H Ball State ( 4- 5, 91.7) 1- 3 -8.16 11.21 -0.74 0.46 -2.04
3 A Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 5-13 -4.35 15.02 0.74 0.46 -0.83
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 15-21 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.46 -1.76
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 1- 7 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.46 -1.76
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 0- 2 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.46 -1.76
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 0- 3 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.46 -1.41
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 4- 9 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.46 -1.41
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 1- 6 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.46 -1.20
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 5-19 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.46 -1.20
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 0- 5 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.46 -1.20
3 H Northern Iowa ( 2- 6, 91.3) 4-10 -8.64 10.73 -0.74 0.46 -2.15
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 2- 7 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.46 -1.90
3 H East Carolina (31-27, 91.3) 14- 2 -8.62 10.75 -0.74 0.46 9.17
3 A Minnesota (16-36, 91.2) 0- 2 -8.70 10.67 0.74 0.46 -1.82
3 H Illinois State ( 5- 5, 91.8) 4- 8 -8.12 11.25 -0.74 0.46 -2.03
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 12- 6 -9.31 10.06 0.74 0.46 9.90
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 0- 7 -9.31 10.06 0.74 0.46 -1.96
3 H Western Illino ( 0- 1, 82.7) 8- 0 -17.16 2.21 -0.74 0.46 1.35
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 0-17 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.46 -0.25
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 1-10 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.46 -0.25
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 0-18 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.46 -0.25
3 H Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 9- 8 -11.16 8.21 -0.74 0.46 6.84
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 1- 5 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.46 -2.04
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 5- 4 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.46 9.59
3 A Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 1- 8 -9.64 9.73 0.74 0.46 -2.04
3 H Indiana State ( 1- 8, 88.3) 9- 5 -11.60 7.77 -0.74 0.46 6.44
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 1- 6 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.46 -1.30
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 0- 3 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.46 -1.31
3 A Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 3- 5 -9.65 9.72 0.74 0.46 -2.04
3 A Evansville ( 0- 4, 89.7) 6- 0 -10.25 9.12 0.74 0.46 9.04
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 5- 8 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.46 -0.67
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 3- 7 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.46 -0.67
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 3- 7 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.46 -0.67
------
70.37
|
winning pts = 124.2206 losing points = -53.8469
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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